Deliverable Length: 500-750 words plus a chart/time line (1 document)

The forecasting department,
traditionally reporting to the sale manager, has historically seen
a forecast accuracy of about 60%, and this in turn causes problems for the
following departments:

  • Purchasing:
    What should we buy and how much?
  • Production:
    What should we really build?
  • Inventory management: We keep building the wrong thing.

The sales manager asked you to write her a memo, specifically
addressing the following:

  • How could you suggest that your new system would
    achieve any better levels of forecast accuracy?
  • Why is forecast accuracy itself not as important under
    traditional methods?
  • Create a chart
    or timeline
    that includes all of the following:
    • Which purchase orders have to be placed, and when
    • When manufacturing needs to begin, to have products
      delivered to a customer
    • Approximate dates for all of the following:
      • When the product must be
        shipped to meet the customer’s due date
      • When the application of the
        cover and packaging must take place to meet the customer’s due date
      • When the manufacturing of the
        widget must begin and end
      • When the raw material for the
        widget must be ordered
      • When the plastic cover must
        be ordered
      • When the cardboard box must
        be ordered
    • Includes notes explain your timing calculation
    • Assumes all of the following conditions:
      • The factory has two
        departments: manufacturing and packaging
      • Product X consists of 3
        components
      • a widget manufactured in the
        factory with a total manufacturing lead time of 1 week
      • a plastic cover purchased
        from vendor A with a procurement lead time of 3 weeks
      • a cardboard shipping box
        purchased from vendor B with a procurement lead time of 4 weeks
      • The widget itself is made
        from steel (whose lead time from vendor C is 4 weeks).
      • It takes 1 day for the cover
        to be applied to the product and for the product to be inserted in the
        box in the packaging department.
      • The shipping time to this
        customer is in 3 weeks, and you do not want it to be late or early.
      • Assume you received the
        customer order on 1/1/20XX.
      • Ignore any holidays
      • Assume a 5-day work week
      • The customer requires the
        product to arrive at his location on 3/31/2011